Studi Strategici ed Intelligence… for dummies

Cosa ha bisogno di conoscere Hu Jintao?

Published by Silendo on Gennaio 6, 2011

Ci sono dei periodi nei quali il caso vuole che contemporaneamente escano più riviste con diversi ed interessanti saggi e/o articoli. E' ciò che è appena successo con Foreign Policy e The Atlantic.
Andiamo con ordine e partiamo da Foreign Policy.
Dato l'argomento dei post precedenti il primo articolo che vi segnalo è quello scritto da Thomas Fingar. Ex capo analisi del DNI statunitense e del National Intelligence Council (è stato il principale responsabile del Global Trends 2025) nonché gran conoscitore della Cina, Fingar ha scritto un piccolo pezzo su quelli che sono i fabbisogni informativi del leader cinese Hu Jintao.

Ovviamente i fabbisogni informativi sono una scusa per una breve descrizione delle sfide della leadership cinese nel prossimo futuro: mantenimento di elevati tassi di crescita economica senza intaccare la stabilità sociale  interna, maggiore forza (anche militare) a livello internazionale limitando il più possibile l'implementazione di strategie di contenimento promosse soprattutto dagli USA.

"As Deng observed 30 years ago, China's ability to become stronger, wealthier, and more influential requires a prolonged period of peace. It also requires forestalling attempts by other countries, above all the United States, to constrain our ability to challenge their hegemonic position, especially here in Asia. The stronger and more influential we become, the greater our implicit challenge to American preeminence and the more likely that Washington will take steps to thwart our peaceful rise. I must know about U.S. efforts to degrade our nuclear deterrent by promoting missile defense and increasing its conventional military superiority. I must know about U.S. efforts to collect intelligence on our military capabilities and diplomatic activities. I must know what Washington is doing to strengthen its alliances and buttress its containment strategy, such as forging a strategic relationship with India. How serious is the Obama administration's drive to sell American weapons to our neighbors? Should we be concerned by the growing number of joint war games the Americans are holding in our region? Similarly, I must be informed about U.S. efforts to pursue its own agenda vis-à-vis Iran, North Korea, Pakistan, and other places that could endanger our access to energy resources, undermine the stability of friendly neighbors, or in other ways impact China's interests. I need to know what the United States is doing with respect to Taiwan, Tibet, and Chinese territories claimed by other countries, some of which, like Japan and the Philippines, are allied with the United States."

Posted in: Blog
Tagged:
cina, intelligence, Leadership e classe dirigente, stati uniti

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